By Karabo Marifi
As South Africa moves into the warmer months of October and November, the South African Weather Service (SAWS) has urged the public to prepare for heatwaves, severe storms, and damaging winds. During a media briefing held in Pretoria on Tuesday, SAWS Senior Manager of Disaster Risk Management, Rudzani Malala, emphasized the importance of vigilance and preparation, especially for vulnerable groups such as the elderly, young children, and those with health conditions.
This weather advisory comes at a critical time as South Africa’s geographic diversity brings unpredictable weather patterns that vary significantly across regions, including possible snow in the spring season.
Weather Patterns and Geographical Influence
South Africa’s unique geographical location, bordered by both the Atlantic and Indian Oceans, contributes to the varied weather conditions experienced in different regions. This geographical influence creates a dynamic climate where one part of the country may experience extreme heat, while another may simultaneously face severe cold.
Malala explained, “The two distinct oceans surrounding the country play a significant role in influencing the typical weather conditions we experience from season to season.” This diversity leads to frequent fluctuations, which are compounded by global climate change trends.
Heatwaves and Vulnerable Populations
As summer approaches, one of the primary concerns raised by SAWS is the potential for heatwaves. Hot, dry weather conditions are expected across much of the country, with the highveld region, including Gauteng, the northern Free State, and eastern Mpumalanga, being particularly susceptible.
During heatwaves, dehydration becomes a significant risk, especially for infants, toddlers, the elderly, and those with pre-existing medical conditions. SAWS has recommended that the public take precautions, such as staying hydrated, avoiding prolonged exposure to the sun, and checking on vulnerable members of their community.
“Heatwaves can lead to numerous fatalities if no mitigative steps are taken,” Malala warned. The risk of heat-related illnesses, including heatstroke, escalates during these periods, making early preparation essential.
Severe Storms and Damaging Winds in the Highveld
The highveld region is also known for severe storms, particularly during spring and summer. These storms can bring torrential rains, hail, and strong winds, posing a threat to infrastructure, crops, and livestock.
The combination of these elements increases the risk of damaging winds, which have the potential to uproot trees, damage buildings, and disrupt transportation. This could create widespread chaos, particularly in urban areas.
Residents are encouraged to monitor weather updates and prepare their homes by securing outdoor items, trimming trees, and ensuring that drainage systems are clear to prevent flooding.
Recent Cold Fronts and Snowfall
Despite the looming heatwaves, South Africa has also recently experienced significant cold fronts, leading to unusual snowfalls in certain regions. From 19 to 22 September 2024, parts of the Free State, KwaZulu-Natal, and the Eastern Cape were blanketed with snow, affecting roads and infrastructure. SAWS had accurately predicted this weather event and issued timely warnings to the public, enabling some regions to prepare in advance.
Snow in late winter or early spring is not an unusual occurrence in South Africa. SAWS Lead Scientist, Dr. Christien Engelbrecht, noted that snowfall in September is not rare, and South Africa has experienced significant snow events even in October.
“Snow in later winter and early spring is not rare at all. In fact, more intense, extreme snow systems tend to affect southern Africa in very late winter, especially over the eastern provinces. We have even had snow in Johannesburg as late as October 2011,” Engelbrecht remarked.
Snow Events in South Africa: A Historical Perspective
A study by Stander et al. (2016) investigated snow events in South Africa from 1981 to 2011. The research identified 60 significant snow events over this period, highlighting strong seasonality in snow occurrences. According to the study:
• The highest frequency of snow events occurred in June (25%) and July (35%).
• August accounted for 20%, while September made up 15% of these snow events.
Although snow in October is less common, there have been notable occurrences, including a significant snowfall event in September 2008 that closed major roads in KwaZulu-Natal and the Eastern Cape.
Preparing for Extreme Weather Events
With the combination of potential heatwaves, severe storms, and the possibility of snowfall in higher altitudes, SAWS is urging South Africans to stay informed and take proactive measures to protect themselves and their property.
• For heatwaves, it is essential to remain hydrated, limit outdoor activities during peak heat hours, and provide additional care to vulnerable individuals.
• For storms, securing loose outdoor items and preparing for potential power outages can help reduce the risk of property damage.
• For cold fronts and snow, those in affected regions should prepare for road closures, stock up on essentials, and ensure that their homes are adequately insulated.
SAWS has committed to providing timely updates and forecasts to keep the public informed of changing weather conditions. By staying vigilant and prepared, communities can mitigate the impact of extreme weather events.
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